# parameters

Every adjustable parameter in the calibration engine. All are accessible via the Calibrate tab in the Depth panel.

## Signal Weights

Control how much each signal influences the composite probability.

| Parameter                          | Range | Default (Balanced) | Effect                           |
| ---------------------------------- | ----- | ------------------ | -------------------------------- |
| **Momentum Weight (7d)**           | 0-2x  | 1.0                | Short-term trend influence       |
| **Momentum Weight (30d)**          | 0-2x  | 1.0                | Medium-term trend influence      |
| **Volume Trend Weight**            | 0-2x  | 1.0                | Trading activity influence       |
| **Whale Flow Weight**              | 0-2x  | 1.0                | Large trade direction influence  |
| **Holder Conviction Weight**       | 0-2x  | 1.0                | Holder balance influence         |
| **Buy Pressure Weight**            | 0-2x  | 1.0                | Recent buy ratio influence       |
| **Smart Money Weight**             | 0-2x  | 1.0                | Combined signal influence        |
| **Volume-Price Divergence Weight** | 0-2x  | 1.0                | Divergence detection sensitivity |
| **Lifecycle Weight**               | 0-2x  | 1.0                | Market maturity adjustment       |

Setting a weight to 0 disables that signal entirely. Setting it to 2x doubles its influence.

## Monte Carlo Parameters

| Parameter                 | Range      | Default | Effect                                       |
| ------------------------- | ---------- | ------- | -------------------------------------------- |
| **Simulation Count**      | 100-10,000 | 1,000   | More = smoother distribution, slower compute |
| **Volatility Multiplier** | 0.5-3x     | 1.0     | Scale estimated volatility up or down        |
| **Drift Sensitivity**     | 0-2x       | 1.0     | How much momentum influences drift direction |

## Kelly Parameters

| Parameter               | Range | Default | Effect                                                        |
| ----------------------- | ----- | ------- | ------------------------------------------------------------- |
| **Uncertainty Penalty** | 0-1   | 0.3     | Empirical Kelly reduction factor. Higher = more conservative. |
| **Max Position Size**   | 1-50% | 25%     | Cap on Kelly's recommendation                                 |

## Whale & Flow Parameters

| Parameter           | Range       | Default | Effect                                 |
| ------------------- | ----------- | ------- | -------------------------------------- |
| **Whale Threshold** | $100-$5,000 | $500    | Minimum trade size to count as "whale" |
| **Flow Lookback**   | 1h-7d       | 24h     | Time window for whale flow calculation |

## Enriched Signals

| Parameter                       | Range   | Default | Effect                                 |
| ------------------------------- | ------- | ------- | -------------------------------------- |
| **Momentum Lookback**           | 3d-90d  | 7d/30d  | Time windows for momentum calculation  |
| **Volume Spike Threshold**      | 2x-10x  | 3x      | Multiple of average to flag as spike   |
| **Concentration Warning (HHI)** | 0.1-0.5 | 0.25    | HHI threshold for "high concentration" |

## How to Calibrate

{% stepper %}
{% step %}

### Start with a preset

Start with a preset that matches your style.
{% endstep %}

{% step %}

### Observe model outputs

Observe model outputs on markets you know well.
{% endstep %}

{% step %}

### Adjust one parameter at a time

Adjust one parameter at a time and see how outputs change.
{% endstep %}

{% step %}

### Back-test mentally

Would the adjusted model have given better signals on recent markets?
{% endstep %}

{% step %}

### Don't over-optimize

Fitting to past data reduces future accuracy.
{% endstep %}
{% endstepper %}

Changes take effect immediately. There is no save button. Your calibration persists for your browser session.


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